I was testingÂ BlogJetÂ today as a possibleÂ desktop blogging tool.Â Strangely, whatÂ caught my eye firstÂ was not the tool, but the quote, attributed to Albert Einstein, that they used in the sample postâ€¦ I found it a little hard to believe that Einstein who died in 1955 would have a quote about computersâ€¦especially about computers being fast. Here is the quote:
“Computers are incredibly fast, accurate and stupid; humans are incredibly slow, inaccurate and brilliant; together they are powerful beyond imagination.” — Albert Einstein (or was it Leo Cherne?â€¦read on)
I decided to see if I could find out starting, as expected,Â with a simple Google search. When you searchÂ the web using Google for confirmation, its easy to find:
“Computers are incredibly fast, accurate and stupid”Â â€“Â You get 21,800 results
“Computers are incredibly fast, accurate and stupid” + EinsteinÂ â€“Â 12,100 results
“The computer is incredibly fast, accurate, and stupid.” Cherne â€“ 509 results
We might stop there and say â€œ21,000 web pages is enough evidence for meâ€, butÂ WHEN did Einstein say it? WHERE? No one seems to know.Â A largeÂ number of these quotes seem respectable enough â€“Â many areÂ on university web sites, computer science portals, andÂ in textbooks.Â The quote was evenÂ used as the motto for Super-computing 2006 and used in the key note speech. It seems in fact to beÂ everywhere except in any book, paper, speech, or a citable source by Albert Einstein. By this point Iâ€™m 99.9% sure he never said it â€“ but lets keep looking.
Wikiquote (a wikipedia project) tries to track down the actual original source of all quotes lists the â€œpowerful beyond imaginationâ€ quote as on of its unverified on the talk page. No verified quote mentions computers at all.
So in this case the web is no help, so letâ€™s try books.
So I switched from Google web search to Google Book search. Book authors normally spend a little more time researching before they publishâ€¦most of the time. I was able to find the quote in over 190 books that Google has scanned. Unfortunately the full text is rarely available. Interestingly, most of the newer books â€“ after 2004 readily attribute the quote to Einstein.
But no book actually about Einstein mentions the quoteâ€¦or anything else about computers.
According to the book â€“Â â€œThe New Quotable Einsteinâ€ by Freeman Dyson (take a look at the index), Einstein never mentioned computers at all. Why would he, he died in 1955, the bestÂ computer of the time looked like this:
TheÂ ENIAC (Electronic Numerical Integrator And Calculator), began construction inÂ 1943Â and was completed 1946. It occupied about 1,800 square feet, used about 18,000 vacuum tubes, and weighed almost 50 tons.Â When it was turned off in 1955, (the year Einstein died) its estimated to have done more arithmetic than the entire human race had done prior to 1945. That IS a lot of math, maybe its possible Einstein said it after all, but we still need evidence.
1955 in Computer history did seem to be a big year:
|1955||Steve JobsÂ is born February 24,Â 1955|
|1955||John McCarthy coins the termÂ Artificial Intelligence (AI)Â inÂ 1955Â at Dartmouth University.|
|1955||Dartmouth Colleges John McCarthy coins the term “artificial intelligence.”|
|1955||Tim Bernes-LeeÂ is born June 8, 1955.|
|1955||William (Bill) H. GatesÂ is born October 28, 1955.|
|1955||IBMÂ introduces the first IBMÂ 702.|
|1955||Bell Labs introduces its first transistor computer. Transistors are faster, smaller and create less heat than traditional vacuum tubs, making these computers more reliable and efficient.|
|1955||The ENIAC is turned off for the last time. Its estimated to have done more arithmetic than the entire human race had done prior to 1945.|
So if not Einstein, then who?
â€œSpeaking of Scienceâ€, a book of science quotations by Jon Fripp includes the quote â€“ but doesnâ€™t attribute it to Einstein. The entry appears like this:
The Computer is incredibly fast, accurate and stupid. Man is unbelievably slow, inaccurate and brilliant. The marriage of the two is a challenge and an opportunity beyond imagination.
â€“ Walesh, 1989 (Summarizing the reasons for using computer modeling for hydrologic and water quality analysis.)
Walesh huhâ€¦whoâ€™s that? While this is a book of quotesâ€¦Â and the while the back of his book does state that â€œeach quote is carefully referencedâ€, I know I have seen it earlier than 1989
Lets see if we can find any thing before 1989
Going back to Google book search I see theÂ quote in a fiction book â€“ Fort Momma (Page 37Â by Al Gowan –Â FictionÂ – 2003) this time attributed to Leo Cherne.Â Cherneâ€™s versionÂ is slightly different:Â
Letâ€™s just find the oldest damn reference to it!
Here it is (that I can find) â€“ 1969. In a journal called â€œAdvances in Instrumentationâ€ v.24 pt.4, 1969, page 691, published by Instrument Society of America. Google book search found it on a shelf at theÂ University of Michigan and digitized it on Nov 28, 2007. Here is a bit of context I was able to tease out of Google by searching over and overâ€¦
â€œThe net result of the overall program was a group of well trained men that had been training in the same way and, as a result, now operate the machine more uniformly. If you get nothing else out of computer installation other than a well trained crew, it alone makes it worth the effort. Even with a computer there is no substitute for a good operator. Computers are incredibly fast, accurate and stupid. On the other hand, a well trained operator as compared with a computer is incredibly slow, inaccurate and brilliant. We think of this feature as “intelligent override” in our control system. We feel you will always have to have this to make decisions about some phases of paper machine operation. Another fringe benefit is accurate production logs. Ours are set up on a 24-hour basis, but can be gotten on demand, to evaluate our progress on a given run. We also integrate stock, chemical, and steam consumption figures to give us a good reliable picture of grade manufacturing costs. In conclusion, we at Eastex feel that what we have done on our No. 4 Machine is merely the beginning. There is no question in our minds that in the future, DDC and the systems engineering method will become the industry standard for process design, installations and operation.â€
But who is the author? â€“ Alas, I do not know. Again, I canâ€™t get to the article. If you have access to this book, please let me know. Something tells me there are earlier versions than this, and I doubt this is the reference that popularized it, but due to the copyright fear that grips the internet, I can not get to the top of the pageâ€¦
Why does this bother me?
People use quotes as a way to strengthen their own position. If I can quote someone you respect, it adds credibility to whatever argument Iâ€™m making. Over time, the truth gets further and further away. The biggest names have always attracted people who are more than willing to put words into their mouths for their own gain â€“ Confucious, Jesus, Aristotle, Shakespere, Einstein, and the biggest, most misquoted, of them all â€“Â God. All of themÂ have probably been quoted more for the things they never said, than things they actually did say. I imagine this is the most disappointing part of time travel, waiting around to witness words never spoken and deeds never done.